Will AI replace your job? Here is the evidence — not the hype.

Searches for "will AI replace my job" have multiplied since 2023, and most of what answers them is either panic or sales copy. This site takes a slower route: for every profession, we put the three serious research measures of AI exposure side by side — what AI is actually being used for today (Anthropic), what it is capable of touching (OpenAI / University of Pennsylvania), and how it scores in real workplace usage (Microsoft) — next to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics' own pay and ten-year outlook figures.

One rule runs through every page: exposure is not replacement. A score says how much of a job's task list AI can reach. Whether a job grows or shrinks also depends on demand, licensing, and how much of the work happens in the physical world. Ask the Job Guide about your job, or browse the professions below.

Ask the Job Guide

Type your job. The Guide answers only from this site's researched data — exposure figures, BLS pay and outlook, tasks and next skills — and it will tell you honestly if your job is not covered yet. It runs entirely on this page; nothing you type is sent anywhere.

How to read an exposure score

Three numbers, three different questions. Anthropic's figure is a share of tasks where AI use has been observed in real work conversations. The GPTs-are-GPTs figure is a share of tasks expert raters and GPT-4 judged reachable by language models. Microsoft's is a 0–1 applicability score from real Copilot use. A job can score high on one and low on another — medical transcriptionists do — and the honest response is to show all three, not to average them into a scarier single number. Our methodology page explains each source, its licence and its limits.

The professions most exposed to AI

Routine, screen-based, text- and number-handling work — this is where every source agrees the exposure is real, and where BLS mostly projects decline.

Most exposed · SOC 43-9021

Will AI Replace Data Entry Keyers?

High AI exposure

This is the clearest case in the data: the core of the job — moving text from documents into systems — is exactly what current AI and OCR do well, and BLS projects the steepest los…

Median pay $39,850 (2024)BLS outlook: -25.9% to 2034
Most exposed · SOC 43-9022

Will AI Replace Word Processors and Typists?

High AI exposure

BLS projects the fastest decline of any US occupation: producing typed documents from drafts and dictation is now a built-in feature of the office software everyone else already us…

Median pay $47,850 (2024)BLS outlook: -36.1% to 2034
Most exposed · SOC 43-4051

Will AI Replace Customer Service Representatives?

High AI exposure

AI chatbots already handle the routine half of this job — order status, resets, simple billing questions — and Anthropic's usage data shows customer service among the most AI-cover…

Median pay $42,830 (2024)BLS outlook: -5% to 2034
Most exposed · SOC 41-2011

Will AI Replace Cashiers?

High AI exposure

The biggest numeric decline of any occupation — but read the scores carefully: AI exposure for checkout work is moderate. This decline is driven mostly by self-checkout and online …

Median pay $31,190 (2024)BLS outlook: -10% to 2034
Most exposed · SOC 43-3071

Will AI Replace Tellers?

High AI exposure

A study in contrasts: the GPT-based study rates over half of teller tasks as AI-exposed, yet Anthropic's real-usage data shows almost none — branch transactions were automated by A…

Median pay $39,340 (2024)BLS outlook: -13% to 2034
Most exposed · SOC 31-9094

Will AI Replace Medical Transcriptionists?

High AI exposure

The sources disagree more here than almost anywhere: the GPT-based study scores this job near the top for exposure and real AI usage in clinics is already high — yet Microsoft's Co…

Median pay $37,550 (2024)BLS outlook: -5% to 2034
Most exposed · SOC 27-3091

Will AI Replace Interpreters and Translators?

High AI exposure

Microsoft's usage data puts this occupation at the very top for AI applicability — machine translation is genuinely good now — yet BLS still projects slight growth: demand for lang…

Median pay $59,440 (2024)BLS outlook: +2% to 2034
Most exposed · SOC 15-1251

Will AI Replace Computer Programmers?

High AI exposure

The single highest observed AI coverage of any occupation in Anthropic's data — AI writes code all day, every day. But note what BLS is shrinking: the narrow "programmer" occupatio…

Median pay $98,670 (2024)BLS outlook: -6% to 2034
Most exposed · SOC 23-2011

Will AI Replace Paralegals and Legal Assistants?

High AI exposure

Legal AI is strong at research and first drafts — the GPT-based study scores about half this job's tasks as exposed — but law runs on accountability: a licensed attorney must stand…

Median pay $61,010 (2024)BLS outlook: +0% to 2034

Growing professions — and what AI is changing inside them

Licensed, physical or fast-growing work. Exposure here does not mean danger: software developers score high on exposure and high on projected growth.

Growing / hands-on · SOC 47-2111

Will AI Replace Electricians?

Growing occupation

The clearest "safe hands" story in the data: every source scores this job low — Anthropic's real-usage data shows effectively zero AI task coverage — because the work is physical, …

Median pay $62,350 (2024)BLS outlook: +9% to 2034
Growing / hands-on · SOC 29-1141

Will AI Replace Registered Nurses?

Growing occupation

AI is arriving in nursing as documentation help, not as a replacement: care is physical, licensed and built on noticing what is wrong with a specific person. Real-usage data shows …

Median pay $93,600 (2024)BLS outlook: +5% to 2034
Growing / hands-on · SOC 15-1252

Will AI Replace Software Developers?

Growing occupation

The most debated job in the AI era — and the data holds both truths at once: the GPT-based study scores developer tasks among the most exposed, and BLS projects strong growth anywa…

Median pay $131,450 (2024)BLS outlook: +15% to 2034
Growing / hands-on · SOC 15-2051

Will AI Replace Data Scientists?

Growing occupation

High exposure and high growth in the same row: AI tools do much of the mechanical data work, and demand for the people who frame the questions and defend the answers is projected t…

Median pay $112,590 (2024)BLS outlook: +34% to 2034
Growing / hands-on · SOC 29-1171

Will AI Replace Nurse Practitioners?

Growing occupation

The fastest-growing large occupation in the entire projection — and one of the least AI-covered in real usage data. Diagnosis and treatment involve AI support tools, but the respon…

Median pay $132,050 (2024)BLS outlook: +35% to 2034
Growing / hands-on · SOC 25-2021

Will AI Replace Elementary School Teachers?

Growing occupation

AI can draft lesson plans and grade routine work, but the core of this job is a room full of children: attention, behaviour, motivation and trust. Exposure scores are low-to-middli…

Median pay $62,310 (2024)BLS outlook: -2% to 2034
Growing / hands-on · SOC 13-1071

Will AI Replace Human Resources Specialists?

Growing occupation

AI screens résumés and drafts policies all day — the GPT-based study scores this job surprisingly high — yet BLS projects growth: hiring, conflict and trust are human processes, an…

Median pay $72,910 (2024)BLS outlook: +6% to 2034
Growing / hands-on · SOC 13-2011

Will AI Replace Accountants and Auditors?

Growing occupation

A split occupation: routine preparation is highly exposed — the contrast with bookkeeping clerks (projected to shrink 6%) is the whole story — but the credentialed work of audit, j…

Median pay $81,680 (2024)BLS outlook: +5% to 2034
Growing / hands-on · SOC 29-1123

Will AI Replace Physical Therapists?

Growing occupation

Among the lowest AI coverage of any occupation in the real-usage data: treatment is hands-on, individual and physical. AI helps with notes and exercise libraries; it does not put h…

Median pay $101,020 (2024)BLS outlook: +11% to 2034
New professions added weekly. We are working through the US occupation list in order of reader demand and data coverage — each page is built only when at least two independent exposure sources and the BLS figures are in hand. If your job is not here yet, the Job Guide will tell you the closest covered professions instead of inventing an answer.
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